The United States Offshore Balancing in the South China Sea Dispute (2017 – 2021)

Authors

  • Rehan Wahyu Muhammad Universitas Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55227/ijhess.v5i1.1720

Abstract

The debates about geopolitical competition between major powers in this multipolar world will always consider the presence of the United States and the rise of China. Therefore, this study attempts to examine the implementation of the United States' offshore balancing, especially in the Donald Trump Administration, to contain China in the South China Sea dispute. Although there were previous studies that discuss the United States – China strategic competition in the South China Sea, the time span is limited until 2017, and has not yet reached the specifications for the implementation of the offshore balancing by the United States. Therefore, this study will use the offshore balancing theory to identify the reasons for the United States’ deterrence against China. This study will use qualitative–deductive methods and triangulation data analysis techniques from official documents and statements, previous research, or internet sources. This study found that China's assertiveness in the South China Sea has caused the implementation of United States’ offshore balancing regardless of geographical distance. Guided by the Freedom of Navigation Operations that escalated during Trump’s, offshore balancing was implemented by encouraging other countries to control China in the South China Sea dispute, and to intervene only when necessary.

References

Alenezi, A. D. (2024). US Rebalance Strategy to Asia and US – China Rivalry in South China Sea from the Perspective of the Offensive Realism. Review of Economics and Political Science, 9(2), 102 – 115.

Biafora, A. (2018, 11 21). The U.S Offshore Balancing in the Contemporary International System – part one. Retrieved from Geopolitica: https://www.geopolitica.info/us-offshore-balancing/

Center for Preventive Action. (2023, June 26). Territorial Disputes in the South China Sea. Council on Foreign Relation: https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/territorial-disputes-south-china-sea

Congressional Research Services. (2024, February 5). U.S. – China Strategic Competition in South and East China Seas: Background and Issues for Congress. Retrieved from https://sgp.fas.org/crs/row/R42784.pdf

Constitutional Rights Foundation. (2018). The Dispute Over the South China Sea. Constitutional Rights Foundation: BRIA, 33(2), 12 – 16.

Council on Foreign Relations. (2021). Trump’s Foreign Policy Moments. Retrieved from https://www.cfr.org/timeline/trumps-foreign-policy-moments

Freund, E. (2017). Freedom of Navigation in the South China Sea: A Practical Guide. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. Harvard Kennedy School.

Gerval, A., & Henderson, M. (2022, Juny 27). US Policy in the South China Sea Across Three Administrations. E-International Relations: https://www.e-ir.info/2022/06/27/us-policy-in-the-south-china-sea-across-three-administrations/

Global Fire Power. (2025). 2025 Military Strength Rankings. Retrieved from https://www.globalfirepower.com/countries-listing.php.

Heriawan. (2022). The Ever-growing China’s Maritime Rise and South China Sea Dispute: A Literature Review. Jurnal Hubungan Internasional, 15(1), 76 – 92.

International Crisis Group. (2021, November 29). The Recent History of the South China Sea: A Timeline. https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/south-china-sea/recent-history-south-china-sea-timeline

Kuok, L. (2019, November). How China’s Actions in the South China Sea Undermine the Rule of Law. Retrieved from Brookings: https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/FP_20191118_china_scs_law_kuok.pdf

Lamont, C. (2015). Research Methods in International Relations. London: Sage.

Layne, C. (2002). Offshore Balancing Revisited. The Washington Quarterly, 25(2), 233-248.

McLaughlin, M. (2020). U.S. Strategy in the South China Sea. American Security Project.

Mearsheimer, J. J. (2001). The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. New York: W.W. Norton & Company, Inc.

Mearsheimer, J. J., & Walt, S. M. (2016, July/August). The Case for Offshore Balancing: A Superior U.S. Grand Strategy. Council on Foreign Relation: Public Affairs, 95(4), 70 – 83.

Neuman, W. L. (2014). Social Research Methods: Qualitative and Quantitative Approaches Seventh Edition. Essex: Pearson.

O'Rourke, R. (2024, August). U.S. – China Strategic Competition in South and East China Seas: Background and Issues for Congress. Congressional Research Service Report.

Ortagus, M. (2020, September 27). China’s Empty Promises in the South China Sea. Press Statement. Retrieved from the United States Department of States: https://2017-2021.state.gov/chinas-empty-promises-in-the-south-china-sea/

Palihapitiya, C., Calacanis, J., Sacks, D., Friedberg, D. (2024). John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uvFtyDy_Bt0

Peiwu, H. C. (2020, September 13). The History and Reality of the South China Sea Issue. Retrieved from Embassy of the People's Republic of China in Canada: http://ca.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/sgxw/202009/t20200913_4615002.htm

Scobell, A. (2018). The South China Sea and U.S. – China Rivalry. Political Science Quarterly, 133(2), 199 – 224. doi:10.1002/polq.12772.

Sinaga, L. C. (2015). China’s Assertive Foreign Policy in South China Sea under Xi Jinping: Its Impact on United States and Australian Foreign Policy. Journal of ASEAN Studies, 3(2), 133-149.

Storey, I. (2020, September 3). The South China Sea Dispute in 2020 – 2021. Retrieved from Yusof Ishak Institute: https://www.iseas.edu.sg/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/ISEAS_Perspective_2020_97.pdf

The United States Army Corps Engineers. (2011, August 24.) The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire. Retrieved from https://www.mvd.usace.army.mil/Portals/52/docs/STRATFOR%20article.pdf

The United States Department of States. (2021). China’s Military Aggression in the Indo-Pacific Region. Retrieved from https://2017-2021.state.gov/chinas-military-aggression-in-the-indo-pacific-region/

The White House. (2017, December). National Security Strategy of the United States of America. Retrieved from Trump White House: https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf

The White House. (2020). United States Strategic Approach to the People’s Republic of China. Retrieved from Trump White House Archives: https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/U.S.-Strategic-Approach-to-The-Peoples-Republic-of-China-Report-5.24v1.pdf

Wirth, C., Schatz, V. (2020). South China Sea “Lawfare”: Fighting over the Freedom of Navigation. German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA), No. 5.

Downloads

Published

2025-08-28

How to Cite

Rehan Wahyu Muhammad. (2025). The United States Offshore Balancing in the South China Sea Dispute (2017 – 2021). International Journal Of Humanities Education and Social Sciences (IJHESS), 5(1). https://doi.org/10.55227/ijhess.v5i1.1720

Issue

Section

Social Science